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Peter Blackett's Economic Update - Oct 2009
Australian share values have continued to improve In October 2009 with the ASX 200 Index (as measured by the S&P/ASX 200 index) rising by 0.93%. Again the annual return has been positive, with a gain of 15.56% over the 12 months from beginning of November 2008 to end of October 2009. During the August to October 2009 period, the Australian share market fell 2.12%.
In world markets, there was a fall of around 1.69% over the month of October 2009, a slowing of the recovery that saw a rise over the August to October 2009 period of 5.63%. The annual return for the 12 months to the end of October 2009 shows a positive return of 14.57% (as measured by the MSCI ex Aus World Index).
Property markets are back to negative territory with a fall over the month of October 2009 of 9.03%, wiping the gains made in September 2009. The quarter from July to September 2009 saw a rise of 34.97%, however, the annual position remains an overall loss of approximately 15% (as measured by the S&P/ASX 200 AREIT).
The cash rate has risen for the second month in a row with the Reserve Bank of Australia raising the cash rate by 0.25 basis points to 3.50% pa. Economists generally expect further rate rises in the coming months as the RBA moves to push the cash rate to a more neutral setting. Inflation is running at 1.3% pa to the end of September 2009.
The Gold price has risen to $1095 US per ounce. The spot gold price has risen 5.44% over the last 30 days (to November 8, 2009) and has risen 49.51% over the 12 months to November 8, 2009.